Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2058.895192 2243.009236 2430.794366 2636.364698 2854.783495 3079.639036 3328.326586
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1751.699568 2021.059502 2307.346538 2633.156201 2992.519775 3375.660268 3813.885381
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1537.062630 1852.539480 2198.381025 2603.353099 3062.201718 3563.628880 4150.621890
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1407.059730 1758.867265 2154.541323 2628.737862 3177.700680 3789.381788 4518.487022
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1286.861305 1663.290759 2096.619184 2626.832394 3252.404771 3961.358890 4819.659262
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1213.903159 1615.829715 2088.001566 2676.167440 3381.419764 4192.161726 5186.512719
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1116.135807 1530.446765 2027.167836 2656.957875 3424.155313 4318.387622 5428.895338
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1068.926899 1503.557288 2033.757449 2716.101105 3558.364229 4551.390571 5797.276789
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1007.186354 1453.769679 2008.144728 2732.282585 3637.857520 4717.558409 6085.743673
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 945.515411 1399.986519 1973.894936 2734.441369 3697.545092 4858.186021 6342.891014
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 852.920551 1299.940443 1875.434566 2650.447553 3645.554157 4858.901853 6427.064347
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 836.728892 1301.450107 1907.848574 2733.617513 3804.015376 5119.632904 6831.849963
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 805.764043 1281.830308 1912.323075 2781.405965 3919.623379 5330.702994 7180.934024
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 757.482140 1235.494838 1879.009576 2777.902652 3968.392869 5458.037759 7426.985968
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 703.220702 1177.515617 1827.034970 2746.871748 3979.155850 5535.757273 7609.975939
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 672.929682 1152.436357 1818.720098 2773.303799 4064.481627 5708.370829 7913.674844
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 635.441260 1114.609599 1790.754008 2771.319804 4110.978498 5830.557755 8153.436088
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 617.517743 1105.073455 1801.914806 2822.683465 4228.746323 6045.594936 8513.700879
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 578.933153 1061.876358 1763.023506 2802.685136 4249.003874 6132.831409 8709.167617
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 566.975439 1059.273420 1782.370447 2864.252352 4380.252087 6366.353987 9095.840162
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 542.950006 1036.317840 1770.798555 2881.094731 4449.827128 6518.631376 9377.509051
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 516.368922 1007.841452 1749.788279 2883.341612 4498.551853 6643.034061 9623.139651
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 467.945653 941.043515 1668.632258 2795.907172 4420.060877 6595.377596 9640.342419